The TP supply crisis is caused by people being dumb and selfish, not because of inadequate production and stocks. If everybody carried on as usual regarding meeting one's needs for groceries and household utensils, there would not be a crisis at all.
Why, because that is what seems to be the most logical conclusion? How is that not cognitive bias? You would have to interview every hoarder to know if they were dumb and you'd have to review a reasonable percentage of all mills and warehouses to verify your prediction about inventory.
"Hello, this is the local supermarket and we'd like to order our weekly supply of toilet paper, and we'd like 2 cases."
"Ok, this is the central distribution warehouse and we'll have those on the truck for Wednesday's delivery."
But those shelves remain empty. And there's no bread, to speak of either, it keeps coming in little spurts. I've already taken to Soviet style shopping, where I go to the store every day to see if the things I want are available. I'd probably pay $10 for a bottle of alcohol, because I work for the public, so if anyone knows anyone...
Yesterday, I must have made an Oroweat shipment and I got some of the good Oatnut bread. Today, I saw they'd gotten a Dave's Killer Bread delivery and I almost got some of that, until I remembered the whole Oroweat loaf I had to burn through. That's like the opposite of hoarding and it's my point, it just seems like people can't really hoard bread, what do they do, freeze it? "Gosh it is truly the End Times, I guess we'll go ahead and add bread to our daily diet." The empty flour shelf, I can understand. Once all the stores burn down, you'll have to grind wheat to get your flour, or, gawd who knows, chew grass, so it's prudent to stock up now.
I panic buy toaster waffles. Not in bulk, more like a quiet requiem. My son showed me a $24 NY steak he'd bought for similar reasons. It had a Japanese name and I don't know if that meant that it had been produced locally, using Japanese techniques, or if it had been raised in Japan and flown here to sell. I really must remember to ask him how he liked it, we do what we can.
Meanwhile, speaking of simulatable things
‘In The Fight Of Our Lives’: American Airlines CEO Cancels 55,000 Flights, Grounds Almost 1/2 Fleet
“This is a crisis unlike any we’ve faced in the past. Together, we will continue to be aggressive on all fronts so that we ensure American’s future is intact,” AA President Robert Isom said in a letter to employees.
Latest breaking news from CBS11 KTVT-TV | KTXA-TV.
dfw.cbslocal.com
I wondered if that meant they will add defensive weaponry to airplanes flying illegal drugs through international fronts. I'd also had to reread it, because I'd thought it said "America's future" and he could just as easily have been referring to flight simulation's future. Did anyone think to simulate this turn of events? Don't look at me, I saw flight as the
backbone of civilization, not some frivolous luxury to be commoditized, like toilet paper. It seems like a natural extension put that way; commode, commoditize.
Apparently the virus is coming to resemble the "Great Filter," it's also a relative boon to nerds. We all know the Fermi Paradox, right? It's what relates abiogenesis to the Kardashev scale, which basically tries to explain why "planeterism" isn't a term, as is globalism. We are learning that countries that are sufficiently civilized, that take measures to prevent epidemics, like South Korea, have a 1% mortality rate among infected. Countries that have a laissez faire attitude about protection, where you cannot buy gas (petrol) without hugging someone, like Italy, have an 8% mortality rate among infected. They are calling Italy's current measures "draconian" in The Guardian, a fairly neutral publication.
German citizens could be confined to their homes from Monday if people do not act responsibly
www.theguardian.com
So, South Korea, drive through testing; Italy, the draconian civilization facing extinction. Makes one wonder how countries that were formerly just draconian are handling the situation. There is some relief for nerds however, particularly if they live in one of the harder hit countries and they do not smoke.
Data from countries such as Italy and South Korea show the disease can take wildly different paths
www.independent.co.uk